PERF  Perfumania Holdings Inc

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

Consumer Services

Industry

Other Specialty Stores

Market Cap.

28.82M

Vuru Grade

40.85/100

Current Price

$1.86
-0.01 (-0.53%)

Growth Price

$10.61
Undervalued by 470.21%

Stability Price

$12.15
Undervalued by 553.40%

Company Metrics

  • P/E 24.37
  • P/S 0.06
  • P/B 0.57
  • EPS -1.74
  • Cash ROIC 4.22%
  • Cash Ratio 0.13
  • Dividend 0 / 0%
  • Avg. Vol. 85,808.00
  • Shares 15.49M
  • Market Cap. 28.82M

Company Description

Perfumania Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a wholesale distributor and specialty retailer of perfumes and fragrances in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company distributes designer fragrances to mass market retailers, drug and other chain stores, retail wholesale clubs, traditional wholesalers, and other distributors. It sells its products in retail stores on a consign... more


Download 10 Years of Financial Statements:
Income Statement   Balance Sheet   Cash Flow

News

Perfumania Holdings, Inc. Announces Anticipated Nasdaq Delisting and SEC ...
GlobeNewswire (press release) - Sep 21, 2017
BELLPORT, N.Y., Sept. 21, 2017 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PERF) (the “Company”) a U.S.
Perfumania says Nasdaq will delist its stock; firm will not appeal - Newsday
Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PERF) Files An 8-K Notice of Delisting or ... - Market Exclusive
Perfumania Holdings, Inc. Announces Expanded Review of Strategic Alternatives
GlobeNewswire (press release) - May 26, 2017
BELLPORT, N.Y., May 26, 2017 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PERF) (the “Company”), a U.S.
Perfumania Holdings Reports Third Quarter EPS of $0.04 on Net Sales of $125 ...
GlobeNewswire (press release) - Dec 13, 2016
13, 2016 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PERF) (“Perfumania” or the “Company”) a U.S. specialty retailer and distributor of fragrances and related beauty products, today reported operating results for the fiscal 2016 third quarter ...
Perfumania Holdings reports lower sales, net income - Newsday
Perfumania's Chapter 11 bankruptcy plan approved by court
Newsday - Oct 9, 2017
Perfumania Holdings Inc.'s reorganization plan, expected to become effective on Wednesday, has been accepted by the U.S.
Perfumania Holdings, Inc. Names Frank J. Furlan Chief Executive Officer of ...
GlobeNewswire (press release) - Aug 10, 2016
BELLPORT, N.Y., Aug. 10, 2016 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PERF) (“Perfumania” or "the Company"), a U.S.
Perfumania Holdings considers financial 'alternatives'
Newsday - May 30, 2017
Perfumania Holdings Inc., the seller of celebrity and designer perfumes and fragrances, said it is considering “various alternatives to address the company's financial condition.
Perfumania files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, will close 65 stores
Newsday - Aug 28, 2017
Perfumania Holdings Inc., a seller of celebrity and designer perfumes and fragrances, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and said it will close some stores and become a privately held company.
Perfumania is closing a quarter of its stores - CNNMoney
Perfumania Holdings reports net loss of $11 million
Newsday - Sep 9, 2016
Bellport-based Perfumania Holdings Inc. reported lower sales and a narrower net loss for the second quarter ended July 30, driven by a lower store count, lower mall traffic at Perfumania stores and changes in foreign exchange rates against the U.S.
Perfumania sales drop on lower mall traffic
Newsday - Apr 28, 2017
Michael Katz, CEO of Perfumania Holdings Inc., with a bottle of Rebelle Rihanna perfume. Vince Camuto's fragrance and Paris Hilton's Dazzle fragrances in the company's Bellport offices on April 4, 2013.
Investors Peering into the Details on Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (OTCPK:PERF.Q)
MTNV - 7 hours ago
Watching some historical volatility numbers on shares of Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (OTCPK:PERF.Q), we can see that the 12 month volatility is presently 63.177200.
Profitability Measures Under Review For Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (OTCPK:PERF.Q) - Financial News Review
Growth Rate Assumed by Market

We did a reverse valuation to calculate the growth rate the market is assuming for PERF to be considered fairly valued at its current market price. It's useful to compare this to the growth rate we're assuming for the Growth Price.

Future Free Cash Flow Growth Rate

This is the annual growth rate we've applied to calculate PERF's Free Cash Flow for the next 10 years. To calculate it, we looked at several time periods of the last 10 years. Feel free to adjust it, but we limit the initial growth rate to 20% and slow it down over the years. Otherwise, long-term sustainability issues come into play.

Discount Rate

The discount rate is the annual rate of return an investor requires to take the risk of investing in a single stock. To account for that risk, this should be above 8-10%, as this is the avg. annual rate of return for the S&P500 over the past 100 years.

$1.86 Current Price

$10.61 Growth Price (DCF)

Undervalued by 470.21%


Growth Rate Assumed by Market: -500.00%


Future Free Cash Flow Growth Rate: 0.0%


Discount Rate: 15.0%


Show Free Cash Flow numbers

$12.15 Stability Price (EPV)

Undervalued by 553.40%


Discount Rate: 15.0%

$3.76 Book Price

Undervalued by 102.11%


Poor Cash Return on Invested Capital over the past 5 years

PERF has been unable to consistently generate sufficient returns from its investments in buildings, projects and equipment. This could be due to poor management, lack of an economic moat or the capital intensive nature of the business.

PERF has only created $4.22 of cash for every $100 invested.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
20132014201520162017
Free Cash Flow -14.46M -6.97M 32.13M 29.63M 16.15M
divided by
Invested Capital 336.94M 337.77M 315.81M 278.48M 243.27M
Cash ROIC -4.29% -2.06% 10.17% 10.64% 6.64%

Very Poor Return on Equity over the past 5 years

PERF has shown an inability to deliver results for shareholders. This could be due to poor management, PERF operating in a highly competitive industry, or having a weak business in general.

PERF has generated a $23.64 loss for every $100 of Shareholders' Equity.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
20132014201520162017
Net Income -56.01M -12.47M 2.65M -11.67M -23.64M
divided by
Stockholders' Equity 103.12M 91.29M 95.29M 83.98M 60.43M
Return on Equity -54.32% -13.65% 2.78% -13.90% -39.12%

Mediocre Business Performance over the past 10 years

PERF isn't a strong business and might be consistently attempting to fuel growth with debt or has trouble staying profitable. The lack of predictability in free cash flow should be concerning for the reliability of future earnings.

PERF has been unable to consistently create value for shareholders.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Free Cash Flow -5.86M -18.39M 116.22M -14.06M 29.88M -14.46M -6.97M 32.13M 29.63M 16.15M

Weak Balance Sheet

PERF's financial position is not ideal. The key is to check whether PERF is using debt to fuel its growth and the sustainability of that tendency. Highly capital intensive businesses (see Economic Moat) follow this route, which can deeply impact the future prospects of the business.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Cash 1.04M 4.20M 1.95M 1.24M 1.68M 2.45M 1.55M 1.53M 5.64M 7.47M
Current Assets 114.06M 340.93M 255.27M 255.96M 247.59M 317.23M 333.98M 296.46M 266.44M 240.32M
Total Assets 159.83M 400.13M 306.59M 300.47M 286.76M 419.60M 423.40M 386.23M 351.05M 310.30M
Current Liabilities 116.78M 216.85M 130.16M 58.92M 62.77M 80.22M 84.08M 68.89M 66.93M 59.56M
Total Liabilities 123.97M 320.25M 242.49M 239.96M 221.96M 316.48M 332.11M 290.94M 267.07M 249.88M
Stockholder' Equity 35.86M 79.88M 64.09M 60.51M 64.80M 103.12M 91.29M 95.29M 83.98M 60.43M
Current Ratio 0.98 1.57 1.96 4.34 3.94 3.95 3.97 4.30 3.98 4.04
TL-to-TA 0.78 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.77 0.75 0.78 0.75 0.76 0.81

Low or No Reinvestment of Profits over the past 10 years

PERF has either been retaining a small amount of their earnings or has done so inconsistently. A lack of consistency could be due to PERF operating at a loss or them having such a strong economic moat they feel comfortable spending profits on growth. Be wary of future prospects and if applicable, inspect the moat's sustainability.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Retained Earnings -34.78M -36.65M -52.48M -56.20M -52.07M -108.08M -120.55M -117.90M -129.57M -153.21M
Retained Earnings Growth - -5.36% -43.19% -7.10% 7.35% -107.57% -11.53% 2.20% -9.90% -18.24%

Loss Making Entity over the past 10 years

PERF has been unable to maintain profitability. It's Costs of Sales have outstripped Revenue consistently. This is a huge red flag, unless the company has been investing heavily for the future. However, even that is dubious since accurately predicting the future of a company like that is extremely difficult.

$4.27 of every $100 of Revenue have been a loss, on average over the past 10 years.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Net Income 5,730.00 -86.96M -15.83M -3.72M 4.13M -56.01M -12.47M 2.65M -11.67M -23.64M
divided by
Revenue 301.83M 429.29M 510.92M 484.80M 493.51M 534.78M 575.86M 583.96M 541.96M 468.87M
Net Profit Margin 0.00% -20.26% -3.10% -0.77% 0.84% -10.47% -2.16% 0.45% -2.15% -5.04%

Varying Pricing Power over the past 10 years

PERF has maintained substantial gross margins, suggesting that they have been able to set prices without consideration of the cost of goods sold. However, there is a substantial variation in their Gross Profit Margins from year-to-year, which indicates inconsistent performance. Look at reasons for this inconsistency to determine the likelihood of future sustainability.

$46.57 of every $100 worth of sales have been Gross Profit, on average over the past 10 years.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Gross Profit 111.87M 134.82M 178.79M 180.85M 493.51M 213.61M 252.17M 271.12M 257.62M 221.33M
divided by
Revenue 301.83M 429.29M 510.92M 484.80M 493.51M 534.78M 575.86M 583.96M 541.96M 468.87M
Gross Margin 37.06% 31.41% 34.99% 37.30% 100.00% 39.94% 43.79% 46.43% 47.54% 47.21%

High Capital Intensity over the past 10 years

PERF spends large amounts of capital buying new equipment or investing in new facilities to stay competitive. Over the long term, those costs may have to be fuelled by debt. Look at the growth of Shareholders' Equity to see if this strategy is having a positive or negative impact.

85,080.22% of Profits are being spent on Capital Expenditures, like Property, Plant, & Equipment, required to run the business.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Capital Expenditure 14.59M 8.86M 4.82M 2.98M 4.04M 7.09M 5.50M 12.39M 8.49M 3.12M
divided by
Net Income 5,730.00 -86.96M -15.83M -3.72M 4.13M -56.01M -12.47M 2.65M -11.67M -23.64M
Capital Expenditure Ratio 254,674.61% -10.19% -30.46% -79.97% 97.89% -12.65% -44.12% 468.15% -72.70% -13.19%

No Dividend History over the past 10 years

PERF has never distributed dividends or has recently suspended their dividend distribution.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Dividend Paid - - - - - - - - - -
divided by
Shares Outstanding 3.06M 7.36M 8.97M 8.97M 9.03M 13.94M 15.36M 15.49M 15.49M 15.49M
Dividend Paid Per Share - - - - - - - - - -
Price at Year End 4.70 7.16 8.46 10.40 4.89 6.05 6.02 2.41 1.50 1.15
Dividend Yield - - - - - - - - - -

History of Stock Buybacks over the past 10 years

PERF has some history of delivering increased value for shareholders in the form of stock buybacks. These have helped improve financial metrics and increase each shareholders' relative ownership stake in the company, due to fewer shares outstanding and holding the same number of shares.
Figures in USD. Fiscal year ends in January
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Shares Outstanding 3.06M 7.36M 8.97M 8.97M 9.03M 13.94M 15.36M 15.49M 15.49M 15.49M
Stock Bought Back - -58.46% -17.87% -0.00% -0.68% -35.24% -9.21% -0.85% 0.00% -0.04%
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